Recent

The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
27 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Lessons learned in institutional preparedness and response during the 2022 European drought
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Faranak Tootoonchi, Marthe Wens, Marleen Lam, Elin Stenfors, Samuel Sutanto, Elena Ridolfi, Serena Ceola, Pedro Alencar, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Monica Ionita, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Scott J. McGrane, Benedetta Moccia, Viorica Nagavciuc, Fabio Russo, Svitlana Krakovska, Andrijana Todorovic, Patricia Trambauer, Raffaele Vignola, and Claudia Teutschbein
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 955–979, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-955-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-955-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
27 Feb 2026
First mapping of a tsunami wavefield by SWOT satellite: observation data and preliminary numerical simulation of the 19 May 2023 tsunami near the Loyalty Islands
Jean H. M. Roger, Yannice Faugère, Hélène Hébert, Antoine Delepoulle, and Gérald Dibarboure
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 943–954, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-943-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-943-2026, 2026
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27 Feb 2026
Human decision-making in crowds in a virtual flood scenario
Booloot Arshaghi, Glyn Lawson, Riccardo Briganti, and Peer-Olaf Siebers
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 981–1000, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-981-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-981-2026, 2026
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27 Feb 2026
Ice jam formation at river confluences: comprehensive field investigation and comparison to laboratory-derived predictive equations
Laurence Charbonneau, Tadros Ghobrial, Jennifer Nafziger, Catherine Blouin, and Gabriel Pelchat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6452,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6452, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
26 Feb 2026
Flood damage functions for rice: synthesizing evidence and building data-driven models
Alina Bill-Weilandt, Nivedita Sairam, Dennis Wagenaar, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, Perrine Hamel, and David Lallemant
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 925–942, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-925-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-925-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Spatial structures of emerging hot and dry compound events over Europe from 1950 to 2023
Joséphine Schmutz, Mathieu Vrac, Bastien François, and Burak Bulut
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 881–900, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-881-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-881-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Atmospheric Rivers as Triggers of Compound Flooding: quantifying Extreme Joint Events in Western North America Under Climate Change
Andrew Vincent Grgas-Svirac, Mohammad Fereshtehpour, M. Reza Najafi, Alex J. Cannon, and Hamidreza Shirkhani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 901–923, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-901-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-901-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Flood Risk Projection Using a Hybrid Simulation Technique
Charles Doktycz, Mark Abkowitz, and Hiba Baroud
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-878,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-878, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
23 Feb 2026
Beyond and beneath displacement time series: towards InSAR-based early warnings and deformation analysis of the Achoma landslide, Peru
Benedetta Dini, Pascal Lacroix, and Marie-Pierre Doin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 863–879, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-863-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-863-2026, 2026
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23 Feb 2026
A Study of Small-scale Landslides Susceptibility Dynamic Assessment in South Chian: Merging SBAS-InSAR and Machine Learning
Zhu Liang, Jingxin Hou, Yang Liu, Ting Wang, Guochao Liu, Chunshuai Si, and Jun Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-218,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-218, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Feb 2026
Physically Coherent Machine Learning for Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Emulation
Hamish Wilkinson, Paul Bates, Chris Lucas, Niall Quinn, Ivan D. Haigh, Tom Collings, and Peter Watson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-781,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-781, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Towards an operational European Drought Impacts Database (EDID)
Kerstin Stahl, Kathrin Szillat, Veit Blauhut, Monika Hlavsová, Lauro Rossi, Dario Masante, and Andrea Toreti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 845–861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-845-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-845-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
19 Feb 2026
Using seasonal forecasts to enhance our understanding of extreme wind and precipitation impacts from extratropical cyclones
Jacob W. Maddison, Jennifer L. Catto, Sandra Hansen, Ching Ho Justin Ng, and Stefan Siegert
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 827–844, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026, 2026
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18 Feb 2026
Short-Term Drought Forecasting in Iran Using Multi-Source Machine Learning: An Assessment of Autoregressive, Teleconnection-Driven, and Hybrid Paradigms
Jun Jian, Peyman Mahmoudi, Pouria Jafari, Alireza Ghaemi, Jing Yang, and Fatemeh Firoozi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5906,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5906, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Feb 2026
Numerical modelling framework for assessing dune effectiveness against coastal inundation
Italo dos Reis Lopes, Ivan Federico, Michalis Vousdoukas, Luisa Perini, Salvatore Causio, Giovanni Coppini, Maurilio Milella, Nadia Pinardi, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 811–825, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-811-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-811-2026, 2026
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17 Feb 2026
Brief communication: A century of landslide records in Calabria, southern Italy, looking for changes and trends through a dynamic analysis
Stefano Luigi Gariano and Olga Petrucci
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-621,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-621, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
17 Feb 2026
Climate change increases landslide susceptibility in Aotearoa New Zealand: Development and application of a national-scale model using machine learning
Oliver Wigmore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-768,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-768, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Feb 2026
Quantifying Compounded Economic Impacts and Disease Burden of Flooding in Can Tho, Vietnam
Yamile Villafani, Heiko Apel, Laurens J. N. Oostwegel, Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh, Hong Quan Nguyen, Nigel K. Downes, Andrea Cominola, and Nivedita Sairam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-850,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-850, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Feb 2026
Collective risk modelling of multi-peril events: correlation of European windstorm gust and precipitation annual severity
Toby P. Jones, David B. Stephenson, and Matthew D. K. Priestley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 775–789, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-775-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-775-2026, 2026
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13 Feb 2026
Rapid amplification of Compound Drought and Heatwave risk over India: a regime shift from arid northwest to humid southern and eastern hotspots
Debankana Bhattacharjee and Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 791–810, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-791-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-791-2026, 2026
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12 Feb 2026
Brief communication: Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of European windstorms in CMIP6 climate models
Stephen Cusack
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6232,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6232, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
12 Feb 2026
Enhancing hydrological hazard early warning: A 60-day streamflow forecasting framework integrating deep learning and process-based modeling
Zhijie Liu, Hanbo Yang, and Dawen Yang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-393,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-393, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
Brief communication: Drought economic assessments must include human health impacts
Alexandre C. Costa, Francisco G. F. da Silva, Rafaella P. Moreira, Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Luewton L. F. Agostinho, and Pieter R. van Oel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-678,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-678, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
12 Feb 2026
Unravelling information on impactful geo-hydrological hazard events with HazMiner, a multilingual text mining method developed through a global scale coverage application
Bram Valkenborg, Olivier Dewitte, and Benoît Smets
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-722,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-722, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Feb 2026
Reconstruction of the 1989 Laguna Del Cerro Largo GLOF: an Interdisciplinary Understanding of GLOF Impacts
Jonathan W. Burton, Frederick B. Chambers, Lisa Kelley, and Benjamin Soto Narbona
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5791,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5791, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Feb 2026
Pre-Seismic Geomagnetic Fusion Anomaly Extraction Based on Spatially Weighted Non-Negative Tensor Factorization
Baiyi Yang, Kaiguang Zhu, Ting Wang, Donghua Zhang, WenQi Chen, Yiqun Zhang, Pu Wang, Xingsu Li, and Yuqi Cheng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-317,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-317, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Feb 2026
Emergence of climate change signal in CMIP6 extreme indices
Nina Schuhen, Carley E. Iles, Marit Sandstad, Viktor Ananiev, and Jana Sillmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 753–773, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-753-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-753-2026, 2026
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09 Feb 2026
Potential glacier contributions to the 2024 La Bérarde flood
Christophe Ogier, Mauro A. Werder, Olivier Gagliardini, Ilaria Santin, Raphael Moser, Romain Hugonnet, Antoine Blanc, and Daniel Farinotti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-466,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-466, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
06 Feb 2026
Modelling the effectiveness of GLOF DRM measures – a case study from the Ala-Archa valley, Kyrgyz Republic
Laura Niggli, Holger Frey, Simon Allen, Nazgul Alybaeva, Christian Huggel, Bolot Moldobekov, and Vitalii Zaginaev
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 733–752, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026, 2026
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06 Feb 2026
Seasonal shifts in drought characteristics and their drivers in Italian alpine catchments under climate change
Senna Bouabdelli, Martin Morlot, Christian Massari, and Giuseppe Formetta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-464,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-464, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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06 Feb 2026
Human-Centred Design Approaches to Tsunami Mitigation under Sea Level Rise in Kesennuma, Japan
Hayley Leggett, Muhammad Daffa Al Farizi, Muhammad Rizki Purnama, Anawat Suppasri, and Fumihiko Imamura
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-365,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-365, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Feb 2026
The TSUSY Database: a global database of historical tsunami events and a tsunami-occurrence criterion based on historical earthquakes
David Galán-Pérez, Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga, Albert Gallego, Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe, Mauricio González, Omar Quetzalcóatl, Jose Antonio Álvarez-Gómez, and Luis Pedraz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-644,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-644, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
05 Feb 2026
The deadliest sudden weather-related events in the Czech Lands, 1851–2025 CE
Rudolf Brázdil, Kateřina Chromá, Miloslav Müller, Jan Lhoták, and Kateřina Skripniková
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-670,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-670, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Feb 2026
Impact of Extreme Rainfall on Triggering Conditions and Susceptibility for Shallow landslides: a case study in the Alpes-Maritimes region (France)
Lucie Armand, Guillaume Chambon, Olivier Cerdan, Yannick Thiery, Nathalie Marçot, Louis Ferradou, Nicolas Saby, and Séverine Bernardie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-458,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-458, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2026
Large-scale flood monitoring based on time series Sentinel-1 images and Z-index
Runmei Xing and Jun Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5770,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5770, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2026
The influence of anthropogenic climate change on Super Typhoon Odette (Typhoon Rai) and its impacts in the Philippines
Ben Clarke, Sihan Li, Ralf Toumi, and Nathan Sparks
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6337,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6337, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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03 Feb 2026
Basin-Scale Geometric Focusing: A Probabilistic-Geometric Framework for Global Tsunami Hazard Assessment and the 2025 Kamchatka Peninsula Tsunami
Ali Abdolali, Michael-Angelo Y. Lam, Usama Kadri, Matt Malej, Maxim Filimonov, and Fengyan Shi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6048,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6048, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2026
1950–2100 climate trends in avalanche activity in Haute-Maurienne, French Alps
François Doussot, Léo Viallon-Galinier, Nicolas Eckert, and Pascal Hagenmuller
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-336,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-336, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Jan 2026
Brief communication: Towards disability inclusive risk management
Vesna Coutureau, Tabea Bork-Hüffer, and Margreth Keiler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 703–708, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-703-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-703-2026, 2026
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30 Jan 2026
Multiscale modeling for coastal cities: addressing climate change impacts on flood events at urban-scale
Michele Bendoni, Francesca Caparrini, Andrea Cucco, Stefano Taddei, Iulia Anton, Roberta Paranunzio, Rossella Mocali, Massimo Perna, Michele Sacco, Giovanni Vitale, Manuela Corongiu, Alberto Ortolani, Salem Gharbia, and Carlo Brandini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 709–731, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-709-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-709-2026, 2026
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30 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
Flood risks to the financial stability of residential mortgage borrowers: an integrated modeling approach
Kieran P. Fitzmaurice, Helena M. Garcia, Antonia Sebastian, Hope Thomson, Harrison B. Zeff, and Gregory W. Characklis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 675–701, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-675-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-675-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
30 Jan 2026
Post-Glacial intensification of marine faulting: resolution-dependent hazard assessment
May Laor, Omri Gadol, Yizhaq Makovsky, Oded Katz, and Zohar Gvirtzman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6041,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6041, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Jan 2026
Tsunamigenic potential of unstable masses in the Gulf of Pozzuoli, Campi Flegrei, Italy
Filippo Zaniboni, Luigi Sabino, Cesare Angeli, Martina Zanetti, and Alberto Armigliato
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 631–649, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-631-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-631-2026, 2026
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29 Jan 2026
Coseismic surface rupture probabilities from earthquake cycle simulations: influence of fault geometry
Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, José Antonio Álvarez-Gómez, Bruno Pace, and Julián García-Mayordomo
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 651–673, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-651-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-651-2026, 2026
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29 Jan 2026
From typhoon rainfall to slope failure: optimizing susceptibility models and dynamic thresholds for landslide warnings in Zixing City, China
Weifeng Xiao, Guangchong Yao, Zhenghui Xiao, Ge Liu, Luguang Luo, Yunjiang Cao, and Wei Yin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 611–629, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-611-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-611-2026, 2026
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29 Jan 2026
Towards automated identification of mass movements in spaceborne interferograms: Comparing expert mapping and deep learning approaches
Gwendolyn Dasser, Alessandro Maissen, Michele Volpi, Jordan Aaron, Florian Denzinger, Hugo Raetzo, and Andrea Manconi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-375,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-375, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Jan 2026
Bedrock ledges, colluvial wedges, and ridgetop wetlands: characterizing geomorphic and atmospheric controls on the 2023 Wrangell landslide to inform landslide assessment in Southeast Alaska, USA
Joshua J. Roering, Margaret M. Darrow, Annette I. Patton, and Aaron Jacobs
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 587–610, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-587-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-587-2026, 2026
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27 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
Review article: Social media for managing disasters triggered by natural hazards: a critical review of data collection strategies and actionable insights
Lakshmi S. Gopal, Rekha Prabha, Hemalatha Thirugnanam, Maneesha Vinodini Ramesh, and Bruce D. Malamud
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 215–250, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-215-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-215-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
27 Jan 2026
Large discrepancies between event- and response-based compound flood hazard estimates
Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Pravin Maduwantha, Alejandra R. Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 571–586, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-571-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-571-2026, 2026
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27 Jan 2026
Integrating multidimensional factors through Bayesian Belief Networks for landslide and debris-flow risk reduction in subtropical zones
Kinh Bac Dang, Hieu Nguyen, Thanh Dat Do, Thi Phuong Nga Pham, Tuan Linh Giang, Thi Dieu Linh Nguyen, Huu Hao Ngo, and Giuseppe Forino
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-160,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-160, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Jan 2026
Land subsidence dynamics and their interplay with spatial and temporal land-use transitions in the Douala coastland, Cameroon
Gergino Chounna Yemele, Philip S. J. Minderhoud, Leonard Osadebamwen Ohenhen, Katharina Seeger, Manoochehr Shirzaei, and Pietro Teatini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 551–570, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-551-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-551-2026, 2026
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26 Jan 2026
Review article: Deep learning for potential landslide identification: data, models, applications, challenges, and opportunities
Pan Jiang, Zhengjing Ma, and Gang Mei
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 487–529, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-487-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-487-2026, 2026
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26 Jan 2026
Quantifying the influence of coastal flood hazards on building habitability following Hurricane Irma
Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 531–550, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-531-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-531-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Soil moisture monitoring with cosmogenic neutrons: an asset for the development and assessment of soil moisture products in the state of Brandenburg (Germany)
Maik Heistermann, Daniel Altdorff, Till Francke, Martin Schrön, Peter M. Grosse, Arvid Markert, Albrecht Bauriegel, Peter Biró, Sabine Attinger, Frank Beyrich, Peter Dietrich, Rebekka Eichstädt, Jakob Terschlüsen, Ariane Walz, Steffen Zacharias, and Sascha E. Oswald
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 465–486, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-465-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-465-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Dynamic analysis of flowlike landslides at Brienz/Brinzauls, Graubünden, Switzerland
Jordan Aaron, Larissa de Palézieux, Jake Langham, Valentin Gischig, Reto Thoeny, and Daniel Figi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 449–464, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-449-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-449-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
A Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)-based synthetic event set of U.S. tornado outbreaks
Kelsey Malloy and Michael K. Tippett
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 433–448, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-433-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-433-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Learning from the past to inform flood risk management: Analysis of public survey data in Belgium on flood early warning and response during the July 2021 flood
Heather J. Murdock, Daniela Rodriguez Castro, Benjamin Dewals, Anna Heidenreich, and Annegret H. Thieken
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6376,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6376, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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23 Jan 2026
Rating telecommunication towers by social importance and physical vulnerability to wildfire
Carter S. Kuiper and Jen L. Beverly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-276,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-276, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 6 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Autonomous and efficient large-scale snow avalanche monitoring with an Unmanned Aerial System (UAS)
Jaeyoung Lim, Elisabeth Hafner-Aeschbacher, Florian Achermann, Rik Girod, David Rohr, Nicholas Lawrance, Yves Bühler, and Roland Siegwart
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 411–431, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-411-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-411-2026, 2026
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22 Jan 2026
Assessing the spatial correlation of potential compound flooding in the United States
Huazhi Li, Robert A. Jane, Dirk Eilander, Alejandra R. Enríquez, Toon Haer, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 391–409, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-391-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-391-2026, 2026
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22 Jan 2026
Semi-Supervised Segmentation for Mapping Urban Expansion and Hazard Exposure in Lima, Peru
Javier Jaimes, Luis Moya, Marta Vilela, María Santa María, Sandra Santa Cruz, and Carlos Gonzales
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5987,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5987, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Quantifying the current and future likelihood of the 2022 extreme wildfires weather conditions in France with anthropogenic climate change
Shengling Zhu, Renaud Barbero, François Pimont, and Benjamin Renard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-136,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-136, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Areal Reduction Factors from High-Resolution Rain Gauges in Austria
Golbarg Goshtasbpour, Jannick Alpers, Kai Schröter, and Hannes Müller-Thomy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-186,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-186, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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21 Jan 2026
Predicting the amplitude and runup of the water waves induced by rotational cliff collapse, considering fragmentation
Hasnain Gardezi, Talha Khan, Xingyue Li, Taimur Mazhar Sheikh, Yu Huang, and Zhiyi Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 367–389, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-367-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-367-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
The first Earthquake Early Warning System for the high-speed railway in Italy: enhancing rapidness and operational efficiency during seismic events
Simona Colombelli, Aldo Zollo, Francesco Carotenuto, Alessandro Caruso, Luca Elia, Gaetano Festa, Sergio Gammaldi, Antonio Giovanni Iaccarino, Giovanni Iannaccone, Alberto Mauro, Matteo Picozzi, Giulia Polimanti, Rosario Riccio, Stefania Tarantino, Francesco Cirillo, Andrea Vecchi, and Franco Iacobini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 299–314, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-299-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-299-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
20 Jan 2026
Meteorological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting Using a Hybrid SG-CEEMDAN-ARIMA-LSTM Model Based on SPI from Rain Gauge Data
Siphamandla Sibiya, Shaun Ramroop, Sileshi Melesse, and Nkanyiso Mbatha
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 315–342, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-315-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-315-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
Signals without action: a value chain analysis of Luxembourg's 2021 flood disaster
Jeff Da Costa, Elizabeth Ebert, David Hoffmann, Hannah L. Cloke, and Jessica Neumann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 343–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
Blue-green infrastructure for climate adaptation: a socio-economic assessment of decentralised rain-water management measures in the urban environment
Flora Dicke, Hannes Schritt, Ulf Stein, and Jenny Tröltzsch
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6344, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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19 Jan 2026
Econometric modelling for estimating direct flood damage to firms: a micro-scale approach using post-event records in Italy
Marta Ballocci, Daniela Molinari, Giovanni Marin, Marta Galliani, Alessio Domeneghetti, Giovanni Menduni, Simone Sterlacchini, and Francesco Ballio
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 251–270, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-251-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-251-2026, 2026
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19 Jan 2026
Hourly Precipitation Patterns and Extremization over Italy using convection-permitting reanalysis data
Francesco Cavalleri, Cristian Lussana, Francesca Viterbo, Michele Brunetti, Riccardo Bonanno, Veronica Manara, Matteo Lacavalla, and Maurizio Maugeri
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 279–297, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-279-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-279-2026, 2026
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19 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
Brief Communication: Rejuvenating and strengthening the science–policy interface required to implement the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
Joel C. Gill
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 271–278, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-271-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-271-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
19 Jan 2026
Global Fatal Coastal Landslides
Malia N Reiss, Adam P Young, and Jessica Carilli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-96,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-96, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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19 Jan 2026
An internally consistent framework for calculating cascading probabilistic earthquake risk and its application to a case study in New Zealand
Jose Moratalla, David Burbidge, Jean Roger, Katie Jones, Angela Griffin, Christof Mueller, Uma Ashok, Finn Scheele, Yaseen Mahmood, and Edith Bretherton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5884,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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16 Jan 2026
Rockfall triggering and meteorological variables in the Dolomites (Italian Eastern Alps)
Francesca N. Bonometti, Giuseppe Dattola, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni B. Crosta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 187–213, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-187-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-187-2026, 2026
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16 Jan 2026
Deciphering the drivers of direct and indirect damages to companies from an unprecedented flood event: A data-driven, multivariate probabilistic approach
Ravikumar Guntu, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Annegret H. Thieken, Meike Müller, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 163–186, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-163-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-163-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Invited perspectives: Redefining disaster risk – the convergence of natural hazards and health crises
Nivedita Sairam and Marleen C. de Ruiter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 119–130, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-119-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-119-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Paleoseismic history of the intermountain Rieti Basin (Central Apennines, Italy)
Franz A. Livio, Anna M. Blumetti, Valerio Comerci, Maria F. Ferrario, Gilberto Binda, Marco Caciagli, Michela Colombo, Pio Di Manna, Fernando Ferri, Fiorenzo Fumanti, Roberto Gambillara, Maurizio Guerra, Luca Guerrieri, Paolo Lorenzoni, Valerio Materni, Francesco Miscione, Rosa Nappi, Rosella Nave, Kathleen Nicoll, Alba Peiro, Marco Pizza, Roberto Pompili, Luca M. Puzzilli, Mauro Roma, Aurora Rossi, Valerio Ruscito, Vincenzo Sapia, Argelia Silva Fragoso, Emanuele Scaramuzzo, Frank Thomas, Giorgio Tringali, Stefano Urbini, Andrea Zerboni, and Alessandro M. Michetti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 131–162, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-131-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-131-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Brief communication: Atmospheric moisture and near-surface temperature anomalies: key drivers in the 2022 European mega-drought
José C. Fernández-Alvarez, Raquel Nieto, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, David Carvalho, and Luis Gimeno
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-57,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-57, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Jan 2026
Dynamic and Thermal Analysis of Sandstorm Processes Based on Vertical Observation Data
Yifei Wang, Wen Huo, Yongqiang Liu, Mayibaier Maihamuti, Fan Yang, Chenglong Zhou, Xinghua Yang, and Ali Mamtimin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4569,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4569, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Jan 2026
Balancing wetland conservation under disease risk in Indonesia: A spatial MCDA approach
Yiting Zhu, Marleen de Ruiter, Sophie Buijs, and Nicole van Maanen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-94,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-94, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jan 2026
Hourly-Scale Modeling of Storm Transitions in Southern Brazil with Markov Chains
Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Jefferson Vieira Santos, Julian David Mera-Franco, Alvaro Avila-Diaz, Tiago A. E. Ferreira, David Henriques da Matta, and Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5114,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5114, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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14 Jan 2026
A Process-Based Four-Stage Framework for Seismic Resilience Assessment of Urban Water Distribution Networks through Multi-Attribute Metrics
Huiquan Miao, Ya'nan Liu, Benwei Hou, Jie Wei, and Chengshun Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5830,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5830, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jan 2026
The quest for reference stations at the National Observatory of Athens, Greece
Olga-Joan Ktenidou, Erion-Vasilis Pikoulis, Antonia Papageorgiou, Fevronia Gkika, Spyros Liakopoulos, Ziya Cekinmez, Panagiotis Savvaidis, Kalliopi-Elli Fragouli, Fanis Chalaris, and Christos P. Evangelidis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 41–83, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-41-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-41-2026, 2026
Short summary
13 Jan 2026
FLEMOflash – Flood Loss Estimation MOdels for companies and households affected by flash floods
Apoorva Singh, Ravikumar Guntu, Nivedita Sairam, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Anna Buch, Melanie Fischer, Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 103–118, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-103-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-103-2026, 2026
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13 Jan 2026
Enabling real-time high-resolution flood forecasting for the entire state of Berlin through multi-GPU accelerated physics-based modeling
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Siqi Deng, and Heiko Apel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 85–101, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-85-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-85-2026, 2026
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13 Jan 2026
Spatiotemporal reorganization of global earthquake disaster impacts within coupled human-Earth systems
Zekang Zhang, Yingqiao Qiu, Yanjun Ye, and Chaoran Xuan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6499,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6499, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 7 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
Variability and persistence of scour at bridges using stochastic simulations
Alonso Pizarro, Oscar Link, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6530,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6530, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
A protocol for vulnerability and exposure assessment in rapid extreme event attribution studies
Roop K. Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maja Vahlberg, Annalena Bacher, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, and Maarten van Aalst
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6568,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6568, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jan 2026
An improved empirical model for predicting postfire debris-flow volume in the western United States
Alexander N. Gorr, Francis K. Rengers, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew A. Thomas, and Jason W. Kean
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
Predicting the risk of individual tree fall along powerlines in Norway with a mechanistic wind risk model and machine learning
Morgane Merlin, Barry Gardiner, and Svein Solberg
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6363,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6363, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Jan 2026
Review article: Emergency Response Automation (ERA) as a Safety-Critical System: A Systematic Review of Reliability, Architecture, and Evolution (2010–2025)
Jian Liu, Qinlin Chu, and Rui Feng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5776,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5776, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
A High-Resolution Framework for Urban Pluvial Flood Risk Mapping
Anastasia Vogelbacher, Malte von Szombathely, Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Jana Sillmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6362,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6362, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Optimizing SAR Flood Extent Mapping in Central Chile: The Critical Role of Image Timing
Lester Olivares and Gabriel González
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6409,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6409, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Jan 2026
Benefits of the simplified MEV for analyzing hourly precipitation extremes in a changing climate
Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Bruno Merz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6419,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6419, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Retreating glaciers and snow cover are amplifying summer droughts in the Adige River Basin (Italy)
Susen Shrestha, Stefano Terzi, Davide Zoccatelli, Mattia Zaramella, Marco Borga, Andrea Galletti, Mattia Callegari, Roberto Dinale, Massimiliano Pittore, and Giacomo Bertoldi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6387,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6387, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
12 Jan 2026
Ballistic projectile hazard of major explosions and paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy) with uncertainty quantification: 1. Mapping method and data analysis
Andrea Bevilacqua, Patrizia Landi, Paola Del Carlo, Augusto Neri, and Massimo Pompilio
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6539,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6539, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Ballistic projectile hazard of major explosions and paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy) with uncertainty quantification: 2. Conditional and temporal probability maps
Andrea Bevilacqua, Augusto Neri, Patrizia Landi, Paola Del Carlo, Massimo Pompilio, and Peter Baxter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6540, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jan 2026
Regional modeling of the impacts of tidal flooding in the context of mean sea level rise on low-lying in the Global South
Thiago Cavalcante Lins Silva, Marco Túlio Mendonça Diniz, Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo, José Yure Gomes Dos Santos, Bruno Ferreira, and Jucielho Pedro Da Silva
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4929,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4929, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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08 Jan 2026
Review article: Exploring methods capturing vulnerability dynamics in the context of flood hazard research
Julius Schlumberger, Tristian R. Stolte, Helena M. Garcia, Antonia Sebastian, Wiebke Jäger, Philip J. Ward, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Annegien Tijssen, and Mariana Madruga de Brito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6132,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6132, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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07 Jan 2026
Dynamic analysis of drought propagation in the context of climate change and watershed characterization: a quantitative study based on GAMLSS and Copula models
Min Li, Zilong Feng, Mingfeng Zhang, Lijie Shi, and Yuhang Yao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1–20, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1-2026, 2026
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